Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 4.762457 5.692293 6.726200 7.956856 9.377343 10.960902 12.855099
2025-02-23 3.257287 4.398884 5.801449 7.634330 9.947297 12.748608 16.375031
2025-03-02 2.323628 3.493676 5.060685 7.275808 10.282987 14.174444 19.533132
2025-03-09 1.814397 2.995717 4.699419 7.271835 10.979825 16.040703 23.358463
2025-03-16 1.461210 2.627291 4.424675 7.300677 11.666696 17.901680 27.293623
2025-03-23 1.188698 2.315958 4.164290 7.282676 12.242027 19.613808 31.122409
2025-03-30 0.928176 1.962065 3.765718 6.971845 12.306209 20.545580 33.851764
2025-04-06 0.773252 1.759878 3.579181 6.965184 12.823809 22.175396 37.717931
2025-04-13 0.642892 1.573678 3.385204 6.908687 13.235516 23.650300 41.427769
2025-04-20 0.586353 1.525118 3.435341 7.286528 14.411234 26.430839 47.384984
2025-04-27 0.522974 1.447037 3.413642 7.522788 15.351714 28.880168 52.952867
2025-05-04 0.479340 1.404108 3.454498 7.879161 16.533858 31.810960 59.490446
2025-05-11 0.407861 1.279778 3.309820 7.860471 17.039230 33.645893 64.366245
2025-05-18 0.330261 1.119073 3.057415 7.586360 17.028609 34.567711 67.735861
2025-05-25 0.262954 0.965864 2.792331 7.244321 16.841261 35.143235 70.519592
2025-06-01 0.225388 0.887325 2.690783 7.245237 17.338437 37.007682 75.711915
2025-06-08 0.194872 0.821203 2.607844 7.275629 17.895156 39.016127 81.278109
2025-06-15 0.166984 0.754626 2.510875 7.258229 18.344383 40.841410 86.602200
2025-06-22 0.133525 0.656136 2.306475 6.948479 18.120608 41.321279 89.405556
2025-06-29 0.114814 0.605495 2.227643 6.941897 18.569930 43.171723 94.932971
2025-07-06 0.097557 0.553818 2.135000 6.885584 18.897124 44.789634 100.090315
2025-07-13 0.092705 0.553318 2.201011 7.262344 20.271025 48.659849 109.891292
2025-07-20 0.085037 0.537468 2.215029 7.497931 21.326680 51.920069 118.628801